Sri Lanka vs New Zealand, Super 8, Group 2 T20 World Cup 2026 Match Prediction – SL vs NZ Today Match Preview, Pitch Report & Toss Prediction

NZ v SL ICC Men's T20 World Cup 2026

Win Probability

34%
66%

Sri LankaNew Zealand

Who will Win Today's Match?

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SL vs NZ Betting Tips

  • Match Winner: New Zealand to win
  • Top New Zealand Batter: Glenn Phillips
  • Top Sri Lanka Batter: Dunith Wellalage
  • Top New Zealand Bowler: Matt Henry
  • Top Sri Lanka Bowler: Usman Tariq
  • Innings Condition Bet: Batting first holds a clear advantage at this venue

Sri Lanka vs New Zealand Betting Odds

Teams BC.Game 1Win Parimatch
Sri Lanka 2.27 2.220 2.28
New Zealand 1.66 1.60 1.63

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Sri Lanka vs New Zealand Match Prediction & Analysis

New Zealand entered this contest with slightly better momentum despite having their previous Super 8 match abandoned due to rain. Their most recently completed game saw them chase down 174 runs against Canada in just 15.1 overs, a performance that underlined the depth and intent of their batting lineup. Glenn Phillips and Rachin Ravindra were particularly impressive, showing both power and composure under pressure.

Sri Lanka, on the other hand, came into this match after a heavy 51-run defeat against England. While their bowlers managed to restrict England to 146, the batting unit collapsed badly, folding for just 95 runs. This inconsistency with the bat has been a recurring concern and places additional pressure on their middle order.

On paper, New Zealand appears more balanced. Their batting depth allows them to absorb early setbacks, while the bowling unit has enough variation to adapt to different conditions. Sri Lanka’s strength lies in their spin attack and all-rounders, but their lack of runs at the top has hurt them in big matches.

Experience, recent form, and overall balance give New Zealand a slight but clear edge, though Sri Lanka remain dangerous if their key players click together.

SL vs NZ Head to Head (T20Is)

Sri Lanka 28 New Zealand
11 Won 16
16 Lost 11
01 NR 01
00 Tied 00

SL vs NZ Head to Head (T20I World Cup)

Sri Lanka 06 New Zealand
03 Won 02
02 Lost 03
01 NR 01
00 Tied 00

SL vs NZ Team Preview

Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka find themselves at the bottom of the Super 8 Group 2 points table after losing their opening match. While the bowling unit has shown discipline and control, especially through Dunith Wellalage and Maheesh Theekshana, the batting lineup has struggled to convert starts into meaningful scores.

Captain Dasun Shanaka remains a key figure, both as a finisher and a leader, while young all-rounders like Wellalage offer balance to the side. For Sri Lanka to challenge New Zealand, the top order must provide a stable platform.

SL Probable Playing XI- Pathum Nissanka, Kamil Mishara, Kusal Mendis (wk), Pavan Rathnayake, Kamindu Mendis, Dasun Shanaka (c), Dunith Wellalage, Dushan Hemantha, Dushmantha Chameera, Maheesh Theekshana, Dilshan Madushanka

New Zealand

New Zealand sit third in Super 8 Group 2 and have looked composed whenever they have taken the field. Their batting unit, led by Glenn Phillips and Rachin Ravindra, has delivered under pressure, while the bowling attack offers pace, bounce, and control.

Matt Henry and Jacob Duffy have been effective with the new ball, and the presence of experienced all-rounders adds flexibility to both departments. Overall, New Zealand appears well-settled and confident heading into this fixture.

NZ Probable Playing XI- Tim Seifert (wk), Finn Allen, Rachin Ravindra, Glenn Phillips, Mark Chapman, Daryl Mitchell, Mitchell Santner (c), James Neesham, Matt Henry, Ish Sodhi, Lockie Ferguson

SL vs NZ Pitch Report

Chasing big totals at Premdasa Stadium has historically been difficult. Good for batting early, slows down as the match progresses and spinners come into play in the middle overs on this pitch.

  • Average first-innings score: 150
  • Competitive total: 160+
  • Dew factor: No significant dew expected

SL vs NZ Weather Report

  • Temperature: Around 30-24°C
  • Sky Conditions: Partly cloudy
  • Rain: 20-30%
  • Wind Speed: 2 km/h

SL vs NZ Toss Prediction

Historical data from this venue suggests a strong advantage for teams batting first, with all World Cup matches here won by the side setting a target.

Toss Prediction: Bat first

Sri Lanka vs New Zealand Winning Prediction

New Zealand look like the safer pick due to their superior batting depth, recent form, and overall balance. Sri Lanka can pose a challenge if their top order fires and their spinners control the middle overs, but consistency remains a concern.

Final Prediction: New Zealand to win.

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