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India vs New Zealand 1st ODI 2025 Match Prediction – IND vs NZ Today Match Preview, Pitch Report & Toss Prediction

India vs New Zealand 1st ODI 2025

Win Probability

63%
37%

India
New Zealand

IND vs NZ Betting Tips

IND vs NZ Betting Odds

Teams BC.Game 1Win Parimatch
New Zealand 4.68 4.50 4.70
India 1.11 1.14 1.19

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IND vs NZ Match Prediction & Analysis

The India vs New Zealand 1st ODI 2026 match prediction leans towards the hosts, mainly due to three factors: home conditions, batting depth, and spin strength.

Vadodara’s Kotambi Stadium traditionally offers true bounce early, allowing stroke-makers to settle. As the game progresses, the surface slows down, making spinners extremely influential in the middle overs. That perfectly suits India’s bowling combination.

New Zealand, however, remains one of the toughest touring sides. Their pace attack can exploit the new ball, and their middle order is experienced enough to counter spin. Expect a game that is competitive for at least the first 30–35 overs before India’s depth starts to tell.

IND vs NZ Head to Head (ODIs)

India 120 New Zealand
62 Won 50
50 Lost 62
07 NR 07
01 Tied 01
31 Home Won 26
14 Away Won 08
17 Neutral Won 16

IND vs NZ Team Previews

India

India’s ODI squad blends youth with battle-hardened experience. The batting lineup runs deep, and the bowling unit has variety across pace and spin.

Strength-

  • Top-order stability with Rohit, Gill, Kohli
  • World-class middle-order control
  • Multiple spin options for Vadodara conditions
  • Proven death bowling

India’s main advantage lies in how many match-winners they can deploy at different stages of the innings.

IND Playing XI- Rohit Sharma, Shubman Gill (C), Virat Kohli, Shreyas Iyer, KL Rahul (WK), Ravindra Jadeja, Washington Sundar, Harshit Rana, Arshdeep Singh, Kuldeep Yadav, Mohammed Siraj

New Zealand

New Zealand entered the series with a balanced squad and strong all-round depth. Their ability to adapt will be crucial on Indian surfaces.

Strength-

  • Left-right opening combination
  • Powerful middle-order hitters
  • Experienced new-ball bowlers
  • Reliable spin control

New Zealand’s success will depend heavily on early wickets and how well their batters handle India’s spin choke in the middle overs.

NZ Playing XI- Devon Conway (WK), Will Young, Henry Nicholls, Daryl Mitchell, Glenn Phillips, Michael Bracewell (C), Zak Foulkes, Josh Clarkson, Jayden Lennox, Kyle Jamieson, Aditya Ashok

IND vs NZ Pitch Report

The Kotambi Stadium pitch in Vadodara is known for its true bounce and generally batting-friendly nature. The new ball offers some help to fast bowlers early on, but once batters get set, run-scoring becomes easier.

As the match progresses, the surface tends to slow down, which brings spinners into the contest during the middle overs.

Dew in the evening could assist the team batting second, but defending totals has also been successful here. A first-innings score around 290+ should be competitive.

IND vs NZ Weather Report

  • Temperature: 30°C day, 17°C night
  • Conditions: Clear sky
  • Rain: 0%
  • Wind: Light north-east breeze
  • Dew Factor: Likely in second innings

IND vs NZ Toss Prediction

Based on venue history and surface behaviour, the India vs New Zealand toss prediction today favours batting first.

Teams winning the toss may look to maximise early batting conditions, put scoreboard pressure and use spinners as pitch slows.

IND vs NZ Winning Prediction

The final India vs New Zealand 1st ODI winning prediction points towards a home victory.

India’s top order is better equipped to exploit the early pitch, and their spin department is likely to dominate the middle overs. New Zealand can challenge early, but sustaining pressure for 100 overs in Indian conditions is a different test.

Final Prediction: India to win.

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