Ashes 2025-26: AUS vs ENG, 4th Test Match Prediction, Pitch Report, Toss

AUS vs ENG Betting Tips

• England to score in Inning #1 below 250.5.
• Ben Stokes to get wickets above 2.5.
• Usman Khawaja total runs in Innings #1 above 45.5.

AUS vs ENG Betting Odds

Looking for the top cricket betting apps for Australia vs England series? Check out our curated list for the most trusted online cricket betting sites.

AUS vs ENG Match Prediction & Analysis

The series narrative has been largely one-sided. Australia have outplayed England in key moments whether with decisive new-ball spells or match-defining batting partnerships. The third Test was a turning point, where Australia sealed the Ashes inside 11 days, underlining the gulf between the two sides.

England’s aggressive Bazball approach has backfired on Australian surfaces, while the hosts have shown adaptability, patience, and tactical clarity.

This AUS vs ENG 4th Test match prediction leans heavily towards Australia, unless England can deliver an exceptional all-round performance.

AUS vs ENG Recent Performance in Tests

Australia (Last 5 Tests)- W, W, W, W, W
England (Last 5 Tests)-  W, D, L, L, L, L

AUS vs ENG Head to Head (Test)

AUS vs ENG Team Previews

Australia Preview

Australia head into the fourth Test with confidence sky-high. Although Pat Cummins is expected to miss the remainder of the series, Steven Smith returns as captain, bringing experience and calm leadership.

Key performers like Travis Head, Mitchell Starc, and Alex Carey have delivered match after match. The bowling unit remains lethal, while the batting lineup looks settled and flexible.

AUS Playing XI- Travis Head, Usman Khwaja, Marnus Labuschagne, Steve Smith (c), Cameron Green, Alex Carey (wk), Josh Inglis, Pat Cummins, Mitchell Starc, Nathan Lyon, Scott Boland

England

England, on the other hand, are searching for answers. Their batting has lacked consistency, and apart from flashes of brilliance from Ben Stokes and Jofra Archer, the support cast has struggled.

The bowling has shown fight but hasn’t sustained pressure long enough. With the series already lost, England’s challenge is as much mental as tactical.

Avoiding a whitewash will be their primary motivation heading into Melbourne.

ENG Predicted Playing XI- Ben Duckett, Zak Crawley, Ollie Pope, Joe Root, Harry Brook, Ben Stokes (c), Jamie Smith (wk), Will Jacks, Gus Atkinson, Brydon Carse, Jofra Archer

AUS vs ENG Pitch Report

The MCG pitch traditionally offers a balanced contest. Early in the match, fast bowlers get seam movement and bounce, while the surface flattens out for batting as the game progresses.

• Average 1st innings score: 470+
• Pacers effective with the new ball
• Spinners come into play from Day 4 onwards

This Australia vs England 4th Test pitch report suggests batting first remains the safer option, especially if teams can post a big total early.

AUS vs ENG Weather Report

Weather conditions are expected to be mostly stable:

• Temperature: Around 16–17°C
• Conditions: Partly cloudy
• Rain Probability: 15–20%
• Humidity: ~70%

Light showers may interrupt play briefly, but a full five-day contest is likely.

AUS vs ENG Toss Prediction

At the MCG, toss trends slightly favour teams batting first. Teams batting first have won 58 Tests and teams batting second have won 42 Tests

Given the pitch behavior, this Ashes 2025 4th Test toss prediction points towards batting first as the preferred choice, especially for Australia.

Toss Prediction: Win toss → Bat first.

AUS vs ENG Winning Prediction

Australia enter the fourth Test as clear favourites. Their familiarity with conditions, superior bowling depth, and consistent batting give them a decisive edge. England will need something extraordinary to turn the tide.

This Ashes 2025 match prediction aligns with current form, conditions, and momentum; all pointing towards another strong Australian performance at home.

Final Prediction- Australia to win the 4th Test and extend their Ashes dominance.

Relevant news