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Ashes 2025-26: AUS vs ENG, 1st Test Match Prediction, Pitch Report, Toss

South Africa tour of India

Win Probability

61%
39%

Australia
England

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AUS vs ENG Betting Tips

  • England to score in Inning #1 below 200.5.
  • Mitchell Starc to get wickets above 2.5.
  • Joe Root total runs in Innings #1 above 45.5.

AUS vs ENG Betting Odds

Teams BC.Game 1Win Parimatch
Australia 1.68 1.642 1.60
England 2.20 2.180 2.28
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AUS vs ENG Match Prediction & Analysis

The Australia vs England 1st Test 2025 marks the beginning of the Ashes 2025–26 series, with both teams eager to set the tone early. Australia, dominant at home, will look to maintain their fortress-like record, especially after their 3–1 series win over India last year.

England, led by Ben Stokes, arrive in Australia after a drawn series against India. However, Australian conditions have historically been a nightmare for them, with English batters often struggling against pace and bounce. The upcoming Test promises high-quality fast bowling from both sides and the usual trial by fire on a green, bouncy Perth pitch.

With Perth hosting its first Test of the Ashes, fans can expect a thrilling battle of temperament, skill, and tactics

AUS vs ENG Recent Performance in Tests

Australia (Last 5 Tests)- W, L, W, W, W
England (Last 5 Tests)- W, L, W, D, L

AUS vs ENG Head to Head (Test)

Australia 361 England
152 Won 112
112 Lost 152
97 Drawn 97
99 Home Won 55
53 Away Won 57

AUS vs ENG Team Previews

Australia

Captain Smith continues to impress as Test captain, leading Australia to series wins against Sri Lanka. With Pat Cummins rested for this series, the experienced Steven Smith shoulders additional responsibility against a quality England attack.

Khwaja has been in top form, providing steady starts. Labushagne, along with Travis Head and Cameron Green, will anchor the middle order. The lower middle order boasts enviable depth with Brendan Doggett, Alex Carey, and Mitchell Starc all capable of changing the game.

Australia’s bowling looks balanced for home conditions. Starc Boland will attack early with the new ball, while Nathan Lyon will try to find the turn least expected in Perth.

AUS Playing XI-  Usman Khawaja, Jake Weatherald, Marnus Labuschagne, Steve Smith, Travis Head, Cameron Green, Brendan Doggett, Alex Carey, Mitchell Starc, Nathan Lyon, Scott Boland.

England

Skipper Ben Stokes returns from injury, and the team will rely heavily on his experience to guide a relatively young batting unit through tough conditions. England’s challenge will be to survive long sessions against Australia’s pace attack

The experienced Zak Crawley and in-form Ben Duckett form the opening pair, followed by Ollie Pope, Joe Root, and Harry Brook in the middle order. Ben Stokes will keep wickets and add stability down the order with Jamie Smith

The English bowling attack, spearheaded by Mark Wood, Josh Tongue and Jofra Archer will be crucial. Shoaib Basheer will form the spin core, while Stokes provides the 4th seam option.

ENG Probable Playing XI- Zak Crawley, Ben Duckett, Ollie Pope, Joe Root, Harry Brook, Ben Stokes, Jamie Smith, Mark Wood, Josh Tongue, Jofra Archer, Shoaib Bashir

AUS vs ENG Pitch Report

Optus Stadium’s pitch has traditionally been a green, tough surface that assists pacers in the early overs.  Batters will struggle in the early sessions, while bowlers who vary their pace and length can extract grip and turn. The deep boundaries make stroke play risky, putting more importance on building partnerships than playing flashy shots.

AUS vs ENG Weather Report

The forecast shows mostly sunny weather across all five days, with only a slight chance of light rain on day 2. Temperatures will remain warm at around 27°C, starting highest on day one before dipping slightly afterward.

AUS vs ENG Toss Prediction

The pitch looks completely green, so it will favour the pacers in the early session. The team winning the toss is likely to bowl first.

AUS vs ENG Winning Prediction

England’s recent Test form is encouraging, but history and conditions tell a different story. Their record in Australia has been poor for more than a decade, and adapting to the pace-heavy surface in Perth will be a major challenge.

Australia, with a settled lineup and in-form pacers, are well-positioned to dominate from Day 1. Expect a strong bowling performance led by Starc and Boland, with consistent pressure from Green and Beau Webster throughout the match.

Final Prediction- Australia to win the 1st Test and take a 1–0 lead in the AUS vs ENG Ashes 2025-26.

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